{"id":56609,"date":"2010-05-13T12:14:56","date_gmt":"2010-05-13T02:14:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2010\/05\/13\/wizard-has-a-bearish-outlook\/"},"modified":"2010-05-13T12:14:56","modified_gmt":"2010-05-13T02:14:56","slug":"wizard-has-a-bearish-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2010\/05\/13\/wizard-has-a-bearish-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Wizard Has A Bearish Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--{cke_protected}{C}%3C!%2D%2D%0A%09%09%40page%20%7B%20margin%3A%202cm%20%7D%0A%09%09P%20%7B%20margin-bottom%3A%200.21cm%20%7D%0A%09%2D%2D%3E--><\/p>\n<p>\n\tBy Rudi Filapek-Vandyck<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThere simply is no two ways about it: the world has changed over the past few weeks and the TechWizard is not on the positive side of the market.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIt is rather his observation that investors are increasingly becoming uncomfortable and nervous.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tAs such he is inclined to expect one more half-baked rally after which US equity markets will roll over and turn negative.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tWhy? It is his personal view that the world&#039;s financial problems will likely prove too hard to handle and that they&#039;ll come back with a vengeance and starting to impact on confidence and economic growth.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tHis two favourite potential scenarios are for one more high or for equities potentially carving out a nasty head-and-shoulders formation on price charts.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/DJIA-scotty.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 499px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe big rise in the VIX volatility index, points out the Wizard, is a clear sign all is not well in today&#039;s market. In addition, he observes base metals prices have failed to recover and crude oil is finding the going tough too.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOne important signal to look out for, says the Wizard, is if the Dow Jones Industrial Average would manage to post a new high, but the VIX index would not fall to a new low. This would indicate that traders do not believe the surge is real and sustainable.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tAll this is likely to play out over the next four to eight weeks, predicts the Wizard.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tA weekly close for the Dow below 9900 would seal its fate, he adds.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe TechWizard is the pseudonym of Scott Morrison, whose experience in financial markets exceeds twenty years. Morrison operates his own website nowadays at www.techwizard.com.au<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;ll only take two months -at the max- before the world will once again look a troubled place, predicts the Wizard.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[26],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56609"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56609"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56609\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56609"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56609"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56609"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}