##{"id":58411,"date":"2011-07-06T11:13:18","date_gmt":"2011-07-06T01:13:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2011\/07\/06\/investors-preparing-for-commodity-currencies-weakness\/"},"modified":"2011-07-06T11:13:18","modified_gmt":"2011-07-06T01:13:18","slug":"investors-preparing-for-commodity-currencies-weakness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2011\/07\/06\/investors-preparing-for-commodity-currencies-weakness\/","title":{"rendered":"Investors Preparing For Commodity Currencies Weakness"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\t<strong>COT Positioning Indicates That Commodity Currencies May Weaken<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\tBy Jamie <span>Saettele<\/span>, <span>CMT<\/span>, Sr. Technical Analyst<\/p>\n<p>\n\tLatest <span>CFTC<\/span> Release dated June 28, 2011:<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7a.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 363px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 13 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. This is not always true however (especially for equity futures) &ndash;group behavior varies across markets.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Charts<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\tNon Commercials (speculators) &ndash; Red<br \/>\n\tCommercials &ndash; Blue<br \/>\n\tSmall Speculators &ndash; Black<\/p>\n<p>\n\t13 Week Index &ndash; Black<br \/>\n\tVolume and 13 week average &ndash; Red and blue<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; US Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7b.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1087px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7c.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1084px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7d.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1075px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7e.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1089px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7f.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1080px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7g.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1086px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7h.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1092px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/dailyfx6-7i.jpg\" style=\"width: 700px;height: 1052px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\tThe views expressed are not <span>FNArena&#039;s<\/span> (see our disclaimer).<\/p>\n<p>\n\tFor real time news and analysis, please visit http:\/\/<span>www.dailyfx.com<\/span>\/real_time_news<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<span>DailyFX<\/span> provides <span>forex<\/span> news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market. Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from <span>FXCM<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<span>www.dailyfx.com<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em><u><span>Forex<\/span> Capital Markets is headquartered at Financial Square 32 Old Slip, 10th Floor, New York, NY 10005 USA.<\/u><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to trade the foreign exchange products offered by <span>Forex<\/span> Capital Markets, LLC, <span>Forex<\/span> Capital Markets Limited, inclusive of all EU branches, <span>FXCM<\/span> Asia Limited, or <span>FXCM<\/span> Australia Limited, any affiliates of aforementioned firms, or other firms under the <span>FXCM<\/span> group of companies [collectively <span>recipient.&rdquo;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Technical limitations<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong><span style=\"font-style: italic\">If you are reading this story through a third party distribution channel and you cannot see charts included<\/span>, we<em> <span>apologise<\/span>, but technical limitations are to blame.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market analysts at FXCM suggest current COT positioning gives an indication of potential weakness in the commodity currencies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[29],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58411"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58411\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}