{"id":58489,"date":"2011-07-21T08:28:11","date_gmt":"2011-07-20T22:28:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2011\/07\/21\/the-overnight-report-dancing-with-debt\/"},"modified":"2011-07-21T08:28:11","modified_gmt":"2011-07-20T22:28:11","slug":"the-overnight-report-dancing-with-debt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2011\/07\/21\/the-overnight-report-dancing-with-debt\/","title":{"rendered":"The Overnight Report: Dancing With Debt"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\tBy Greg Peel<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe Dow closed down 15 points or 0.1% while the S&amp;P was flat at 1325 and the <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">Nasdaq<\/span> lost 0.4%.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tWall Street was going nowhere last night following Tuesday night&#039;s big rally, having now positioned itself ahead of potentially game-changing developments on either side of the Atlantic. Having posted a strong result after the bell on Tuesday, Apple shares closed up 2.7% but failed to ignite further general buying.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOptimism is growing in Europe that this time officials will not simply fiddle about at the edges but dive right into the core of the <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">eurozone<\/span> debt problem. President <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">Sarkozy<\/span> and Chancellor Merkel met last night ahead of tonight&#039;s meeting of leaders in Brussels and this was taken as a positive sign.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tApparently under consideration in Brussels is a much larger European Financial Stability Fund than the one put in place last year which would be able to buy back sovereign bonds and extend lines of credit to struggling <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">eurozone<\/span> members. Another proposal is a tax on holders of Greek bonds which would raise sufficient funds to prevent default. Behind all considerations is the supposed unmovable reality that the <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">ECB<\/span> cannot hold defaulted debt as collateral, and that ratings agencies are expected to call a partial default a default.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tHopefully tonight will bring a grand, market-saving announcement, but then European leaders are not known for their expedient agreements.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIn the meantime, confidence has grown that a debt ceiling agreement can be reached in the US and discussions have begun anew, with a potential announcement touted for Sunday. However as I noted yesterday, any resolution still has to make it through the House. And just in case we thought it might be smooth sailing, last night the Republican majority House approved a bill that would raise the debt ceiling but enforce deep budget cuts and enforce budget balancing, which has been called the &ldquo;Cut, Cap and Balance&rdquo; bill. President Obama has indicated he would immediately veto.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tWe are still in for a bloody battle.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOn the economic front, Tuesday night&#039;s excitement over the May housing starts number gave way to disappointment over last night&#039;s June existing home sales number. It fell for the third month in a row, by 0.8% to <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">4.77m<\/span> units which was down from <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">4.81m<\/span> units in May. Economists had expected an increase to <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">4.90m<\/span> units.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOn the earnings front, all the action was after the bell as four large caps rolled out their results. All four of Qualcomm, American Express (Dow), eBay and Intel (Dow) beat expectations.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tHowever all four did not necessarily receive a positive response. Qualcomm shares are down 3% in the after-market, Amex is down 0.7%, eBay is down 1.8% and Intel is down 1.7%. While analysts spend time <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">scrutinising<\/span> constituent numbers, one suspects these stocks had a good run yesterday on heightened expectations.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tBut back to the day session, where gold&#039;s brief sell-off on Tuesday on supposed risk relief was just that. Gold ran back up US$13.10 to US$1601.90\/oz as no doubt enough buyers decided we&#039;re not out of the woods yet. The euro was stronger, sending the US dollar index down another 0.4% to 74.84, and the Aussie was steady at 1.0746.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOil continued to gain, with Brent rising US$1.09 to US$118.15\/<span class=\"scayt-misspell\">bbl<\/span> and West Texas <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">US71c<\/span> to US$98.09\/<span class=\"scayt-misspell\">bbl<\/span>, but base metals took a breather after Tuesday&#039;s solid gains and showed average falls of around 1%.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">SPI<\/span> Overnight is down 7 points or 0.15%.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIt&#039;s a big night tonight for US earnings reports, with highlights being AT&amp;T (Dow), Microsoft (Dow), Morgan Stanley, Travelers (Dow) and economic bellwether Union Pacific. But dominating global markets will be developments in Europe and possible new news out of the US on the small matter of debt.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tRudi will not be making his regular appearance on Sky Business today as he is holding presentations in Queensland, but in a rare treat Rudi will be delivering the Overnight Report tomorrow morning as I head to Queensland.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIt&#039;s a shame to leave the Sydney weather.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>[Note: All paying members at <span class=\"scayt-misspell\">FNArena<\/span> are being reminded they can set an email alert specifically for The Overnight Report. Go to Portfolio and Alerts in the Cockpit and tick the box in front of The Overnight Report. You will receive an email alert every time a new Overnight Report has been published on the website.]<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street marked time last night, awaiting tonight&#8217;s meeting in Europe and fresh meetings in Washington. Dow down 15.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[84],"tags":[23,29,24,41,22,46,26],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58489"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58489"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58489\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58489"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58489"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58489"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}