##{"id":59344,"date":"2011-12-21T14:03:45","date_gmt":"2011-12-21T03:03:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/21\/the-short-report-53\/"},"modified":"2011-12-21T14:03:45","modified_gmt":"2011-12-21T03:03:45","slug":"the-short-report-53","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/21\/the-short-report-53\/","title":{"rendered":"The Short Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\tBy Chris Shaw<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIncreases in short positions outweighed decreases in the week from December 7th, with three companies seeing shorts increase by more than 1.0% against just one fall by a similar amount.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe largest increase was in <span>BlueScope<\/span> Steel ((<span>BSL<\/span>)), shorts increasing by 2.1% to nearly 4.4% as the market continues to adjust to both tough trading conditions and the recently announced capital raising by the company.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tShorts also jumped higher for <span>Whitehaven<\/span> Coal ((<span>WHC<\/span>)) from a negligible level to 1.63%, this following the proposal for a merger of equals between <span>Whitehaven<\/span> and Aston Resources ((<span>AZT<\/span>)). Brokers in general are positive on the proposal, though the price being paid for the Boardwalk Resources assets has been identified as a possible point of concern.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tMedia market conditions remain tough and as a reflection of this shorts in Fairfax ((<span>FXJ<\/span>)) remain at an elevated level, rising a further 1.4% to nearly 13%. The other dominant sector in terms of high short positions is retail, where the likes of Myer ((<span>MYR<\/span>)), David Jones ((DJS)), <span>Billabong<\/span> ((<span>BBG<\/span>)) and <span>JB<\/span> <span>Hi-Fi<\/span> ((<span>JBH<\/span>)) continue to have short positions among the highest in the market.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tInvestors have been proven correct with respect to both <span>Billabong<\/span> and <span>JB<\/span> <span>Hi-Fi<\/span> given both have delivered profit warnings to the market in recent sessions.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe most significant fall in short positions for the week from December 7th was in <span>Singtel<\/span> ((<span>SGT<\/span>)), where a decline of 1.1% has total shorts now at 2.45%. There has been little from the company since a quarterly update early in November.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tMonthly changes in short positions suggest concerns over companies exposed to the discretionary retail sector remain, as Flight Centre ((<span>FLT<\/span>)) and Myer both saw shorts rise by more than 1.3% for the period.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tShorts in <span>Iluka<\/span> ((<span>ILU<\/span>)) also rose over the past month by 1.6% to nearly 3.2%, this despite the company announcing strong price increases for titanium oxide that has seen brokers lift earnings estimates for the coming year.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tResource companies in general have been among the more prominent in terms of short position increases over the past month, this as the European debt crisis continues to weigh on the global growth outlook and on the prospects for commodity demand.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<span>Alkane<\/span> Exploration ((<span>ALK<\/span>)), <span>Ramelius<\/span> Resources ((<span>RMS<\/span>)), <span>Arafura<\/span> Resources ((<span>ARU<\/span>)) and <span>Kingsgate<\/span> Consolidated ((<span>KCN<\/span>)) all experienced increases in shorts of more than 1.0% over the past month. <span>Wesfarmers<\/span> ((WES)), which also has a discretionary retail exposure through the Coles group, was the closest of the industrials as its shorts rose by 0.9% during the period.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tFalls in shorts for the month from November 14th were also dominated by resource stocks, with Santos ((<span>STO<\/span>)), <span>Murchison<\/span> Metals ((<span>MMX<\/span>)) and Paladin ((<span>PDN<\/span>)) all enjoying falls of more than 1.0%. Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL)) was the only industrial stock to enjoy a more than 1.0% fall in shorts for the month from November 14th.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tElsewhere, <span>RBS<\/span> notes Macquarie Group ((<span>MQG<\/span>)) has seen an increase in shorts of just over 0.5% in the past month. In the view of <span>RBS<\/span> this reflects ongoing tough conditions in capital markets given the <span>Eurozone<\/span> crisis continues to drag, something expected to weigh on earnings for Macquarie.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOne stock where short position moves indicate the market is uncertain is Cochlear ((<span>COH<\/span>)), as <span>RBS<\/span> notes while shorts have risen by almost 1.0% over the past month they have fallen slightly in the last week. The changes have mirrored the news flow from the company, as ongoing concerns about issues with the Nucleus 5 implant may be tempered in coming sessions given the company has indicated it has found out why the device was failing.<br \/>\n\t&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>\n\tTop Ten Largest Short Positions<\/h2>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"tablesubheading\">\n\t\t\t\tRank<\/td>\n<td class=\"tablesubheading\">\n\t\t\t\tSymbol<\/td>\n<td class=\"tablesubheading\">\n\t\t\t\tShort Position<\/td>\n<td class=\"tablesubheading\">\n\t\t\t\tTotal Product<\/td>\n<td class=\"tablesubheading\">\n\t\t\t\t%Short<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t1<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>JBH<\/span><\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t21613182<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t98833643<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t21.87<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t2<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\tISO<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t935644<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t5401916<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t17.32<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t3<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>FXJ<\/span><\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t306805187<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t2351955725<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t13.05<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t4<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>MYR<\/span><\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t71813085<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t583384551<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t12.30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t5<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>BBG<\/span><\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t29113634<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t255102103<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t11.43<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t6<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\tDJS<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t51019454<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t524940325<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t9.70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t7<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>FLT<\/span><\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t9514262<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t99997851<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t9.49<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t8<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>LYC<\/span><\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t117271559<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t1713846913<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t6.83<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t9<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\tWTF<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t13734586<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t211736244<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t6.48<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t10<\/td>\n<td class=\"c ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>PPT<\/span><\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t2714307<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t41980678<\/td>\n<td class=\"r ref1\">\n\t\t\t\t6.45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\n\tTo see the full Short Report, please <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_asic\">go to this link<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong><i>IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT THIS REPORT<\/i><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i>The above information is sourced from daily reports published by the Australian Investment &amp; Securities Commission (<span>ASIC<\/span>) and is provided by <span>FNArena<\/span> unqualified as a service to subscribers. <span>FNArena<\/span> would like to make it very clear that immediate assumptions cannot be drawn from the numbers alone.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i>It is wrong to assume that short percentages published by <span>ASIC<\/span> simply imply negative market positions held by fund managers or others looking to profit from a fall in respective share prices. While all or part of certain short percentages may indeed imply such, there are also a myriad of other reasons why a short position might be held which does not render that position &ldquo;naked&rdquo; given offsetting positions held elsewhere. Whatever balance of percentages truly is a &ldquo;short&rdquo; position would suggest there are negative views on a stock held by some in the market and also would suggest that were the news flow on that stock to turn suddenly positive, &ldquo;short covering&rdquo; may spark a short, sharp rally in that share price. However short positions held as an offset against another position may prove merely benign.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i>Often large short positions can be attributable to a listed hybrid security on the same stock where traders look to &ldquo;strip out&rdquo; the option value of the hybrid with offsetting listed option and stock positions. Short positions may form part of a short stock portfolio offsetting a long share price index (<span>SPI<\/span>) futures portfolio &ndash; a popular trade which seeks to exploit windows of opportunity when the <span>SPI<\/span> price trades at an overextended discount to fair value. Short positions may be held as a hedge by a <span>broking<\/span> house providing dividend reinvestment plan (<span>DRP<\/span>) underwriting services or other similar services. Short positions will occasionally need to be adopted by market makers in listed equity exchange traded fund products (EFT). All of the above are just some of the reasons why a short position may be held in a stock but can be considered benign in share price direction terms due to offsets.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i>Market makers in stock and stock index options will also hedge their portfolios using short positions where necessary. These delta hedges often form the other side of a client&#039;s long stock-long put option protection trade, or perhaps long stock-short call option (&ldquo;buy-write&rdquo;) position. In a clear example of how published short percentages can be misleading, an options market maker may hold a short position below the implied delta hedge level and that actually implies a &ldquo;long&rdquo; position in that stock.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i>Another popular trading strategy is that of &ldquo;pairs trading&rdquo; in which one stock is held short against a long position in another stock. Such positions look to exploit perceived imbalances in the valuations of two stocks and imply a &ldquo;net neutral&rdquo; market position.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i>Aside from all the above reasons as to why it would be a potential misconception to draw simply conclusions on short percentages, there are even wider issues to consider. <span>ASIC<\/span> itself will admit that short position data is not an exact science given the onus on market participants to declare to their broker when positions truly are &ldquo;short&rdquo;. Without any suggestion of deceit, there are always participants who are ignorant of the regulations. Discrepancies can also arise when short positions are held by a large investment banking operation offering multiple stock market services as well as proprietary trading activities. Such activity can introduce the possibility of either non-counting or double-counting when custodians are involved and beneficial ownership issues become unclear.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i>Finally, a simple fact is that the Australian Securities Exchange also keeps its own register of short positions. The figures provided by <span>ASIC<\/span> and by the <span>ASX<\/span> at any point do not necessarily correlate.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<i><span>FNArena<\/span> has offered this qualified explanation of the vagaries of short stock positions as a warning to subscribers not to jump to any conclusions or to make investment decisions based solely on these unqualified numbers. <span>FNArena<\/span> strongly suggests investors seek advice from their stock broker or financial adviser before acting upon any of the information provided herein.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Technical limitations<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong><span style=\"font-style: italic\">If you are reading this story through a third party distribution channel and you cannot see charts included<\/span>, <em>we <span><span><span>apologise<\/span><\/span><\/span>, but technical limitations are to blame.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\tFind out why <span><span>FNArena<\/span><\/span> subscribers like the service so much: &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&amp;n=29EB960D-9DFF-C00E-7F6B464E5D52E250\">Your Feedback (Thank You)<\/a>&quot; &#8211; Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FNArena&#8217;s weekly update on short positions in the Australian share market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[90,23,89,35,36,24,39,91,88,42,37,30,25],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59344"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59344"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59344\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59344"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59344"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59344"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}