{"id":60560,"date":"2012-09-12T10:54:20","date_gmt":"2012-09-12T00:54:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/12\/risk-back-on-technical-charts-suggest\/"},"modified":"2012-09-12T10:54:20","modified_gmt":"2012-09-12T00:54:20","slug":"risk-back-on-technical-charts-suggest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/12\/risk-back-on-technical-charts-suggest\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk Back On, Technical Charts Suggest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\tBy Rudi <span>Filapek-Vandyck<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\tAs far as technical signals are concerned, chartists at Barclays Capital in London abandoned their bearish view on industrial metals at the end of last week and given they had been so persistent in their view prior to the switch, this becomes a noteworthy event in itself.<\/p>\n<p>\tEconomists and the more fundamentally oriented investment specialists may not be prepared to buy into the Great Asset Rotation Switch just yet, it has become obvious in recent sessions the global herd is willing to make a bet on the more cyclical, risky assets and the improving technical picture is simply a direct result of where the &quot;smart money&quot; is moving right now.<\/p>\n<p>\tMind you, the same &quot;smart money&quot; has tried to do this before and failed miserably. Resources analysts at Standard Chartered, to name but one, decided to go long resources in May, only to be confronted with the cold hard reality their timing was too early. (See also this week&#039;s Weekly Insights &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&amp;n=B79B1BE6-A4F2-1A4E-EA424C8558C757FD\">Required: A Leap Of Faith<\/a>&quot;).<\/p>\n<p>\tThis time around it&#039;s all about additional liquidity from central banks in major economic zones, of course, and investors\/traders are willing to bet that Bernanke and <span>Draghi<\/span> will simply &quot;do the right thing&quot; and <span>reflate<\/span> risk assets into 2013. Those technical analysts at Barclays mentioned above are now reporting the surge witnessed in commodities this year is as fierce as it was back in 2010. Back then the surge proved stronger for longer and traders jumping on board the commodities train this time around will be hoping for a carbon copy repeat.<\/p>\n<p>\tAs things stand right now, Barclays charts are suggesting crude oil is likely to rise, but within the well-defined trading range. It&#039;s natural gas that is presently displaying signals that a break-out to the upside might be next.<\/p>\n<p>\tAmong industrial metals, copper is thought heading for US$8160\/t first, then US$8225 while <span>aluminium<\/span> is seen targeting US$2100\/t and then US$2135.<\/p>\n<p>\tThe Big Anticipation, however, lives in precious metals markets were a supportive seasonal pattern is underpinning expectations for much stronger rises than most investors are commentators are currently anticipating.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/Gold_Seasonality_H22012.jpg\" style=\"width: 670px;height: 367px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Technical limitations<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong><span style=\"font-style: italic\">If you are reading this story through a third party distribution channel and you cannot see charts included<\/span>, <em>we <span><span>apologise<\/span><\/span>, but technical limitations are to blame.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>Find out why <span>FNArena<\/span> subscribers like the service so much: &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&amp;n=29EB960D-9DFF-C00E-7F6B464E5D52E250\">Your Feedback (Thank You)<\/a>&quot; &#8211; Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Big Switcheroo from defensives into Risk Assets is receiving support from technical charts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[23,24,22],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60560"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60560"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60560\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}