##{"id":60690,"date":"2012-10-09T08:27:52","date_gmt":"2012-10-08T21:27:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/09\/the-overnight-report-columbus-calm\/"},"modified":"2012-10-09T08:27:52","modified_gmt":"2012-10-08T21:27:52","slug":"the-overnight-report-columbus-calm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/09\/the-overnight-report-columbus-calm\/","title":{"rendered":"The Overnight Report: Columbus Calm"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\tBy Greg Peel<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe Dow fell 26 points, or 0.2%, while the S&amp;P fell 0.4% to 1455, with the <span>Nasdaq<\/span> down 0.8% (Apple down 2.2%).<\/p>\n<p>\n\tApple is continuing with another one of its consolidations post a new all time high. Shares have broken technical support as more issues emerge for the <span>iPhone5<\/span> and as the Galaxy <span>S3<\/span> continues to out-sell. Following on from the maps debacle, <span>iPhone5<\/span> owners are now complaining the <span>aluminium<\/span> case is getting scratched (really?) and a purple haze is appearing in photos. Excuse me while I kiss the sky. The only reason this is important is because of Apple&#039;s impact on the S&amp;P 500 (5% cap).<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOtherwise, last night&#039;s session was typically insignificant for the Columbus Day holiday and indices did not manage to fall off the edge of the earth, rather meandering aimlessly towards the close on minimal volume. Tonight, Alcoa reports and then it&#039;s on for young and old.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tAcross the pond, <span>eurozone<\/span> finance ministers are meeting to officially launch the <span>E500bn<\/span> European Stability Mechanism and to discuss &ndash; get this &ndash; the region&#039;s debt problems. On the agenda will be the Spanish bail-out, or lack thereof, and Greece&#039;s next <span>tranche<\/span>, depending on Athens&#039; commitment to further budget cuts. While it seems most of Europe would just like <span>Rajoy<\/span> to pick up the red phone and trigger <span>ECB<\/span> support, the German finance minister is arguing that if Spain can hold on by itself that&#039;s a good thing. But <span>Schauble<\/span> is an elected politician and he has to tell the German electorate more tax payer <span>euros<\/span> will be used to bail-out another profligate Mediterranean basket case.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tSo we await any inspiration from Europe, but in the meantime the World Bank has downgraded its 2012 GDP growth forecast for China to 7.7% from 8.2%. Good of you to join us, World Bank. Where&#039;ve you been? A World Bank downgrade is as good as any indicator of an impending rebound.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tAs the European story drags on, the euro, as usual, continues to be weaker, sending the US dollar index up 0.3% last night to 79.58. It&#039;s easy to forget the Fed is the central bank that is printing money, while the <span>ECB<\/span> is still waiting for the chance.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe stronger greenback had a predictable impact on also quiet commodity markets, with base metals all down around 1% and the oils little moved. Gold fell US$6.30 to US$1775.00\/oz and the Aussie is still hanging above support at around the US$1.02 mark.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tOnce upon a time the Alcoa result used to provide an early indicator of the strength, or otherwise, of the US earnings season. With the <span>aluminium<\/span> industry in the doldrums, this hasn&#039;t been the case for some time. Really, the season will begin when the big US banks start reporting towards the end of the week. Meanwhile, if you&#039;re a Dow Theory subscriber, the good news is that the Dow Transports average has risen for the past five sessions, despite logistics companies like FedEx, UPS and the odd US railroad having all posted guidance downgrades last month.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tDow Theory requires a strong Dow Transports average to confirm any strength in the Dow Industrial average (&ldquo;the Dow&rdquo;) and until now this hasn&#039;t been the case despite four-year highs in the Industrials. It&#039;s a technical theory, but it fundamentally makes sense that an economy cannot be strong unless the companies that move goods around are strong.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe other good news is that after a week of soggy iron ore prices leading into last week&#039;s Chinese holiday break, China&#039;s spot iron ore price has risen US$6.20, or 5.6% to US$110.40\/t now that everyone&#039;s back to work. This will be good news for the relevant miners today, one presumes.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe <span>SPI<\/span> Overnight was up 6 points.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tToday&#039;s local economic highlight will be the release of NAB&#039;s monthly business confidence survey.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>All&nbsp;overnight and intraday prices, average prices,&nbsp;currency conversions and charts for stock indices,&nbsp;currencies, commodities, bonds, <span>VIX<\/span> and more available in the <span>FNArena<\/span> Cockpit.&nbsp; Click <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_trial\">here<\/a>. (Subscribers can access prices in the Cockpit.)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>All paying members at <span>FNArena<\/span> are being reminded they can set an email alert specifically for The Overnight Report. Go to Portfolio and Alerts in the Cockpit and tick the box in front of The Overnight Report. You will receive an email alert every time a new Overnight Report has been published on the website.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>Find out why <span>FNArena<\/span> subscribers like the service so much: &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&amp;n=29EB960D-9DFF-C00E-7F6B464E5D52E250\">Your Feedback (Thank You)<\/a>&quot; &#8211; Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street did a whole lot of nothing last night on a part holiday as earnings approach and eurozone finance ministers meet. Dow down 26. (Accessible only for subscribers before 10:15 AEDT)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[84],"tags":[23,21,27,89,29,24,41,88,22,46,26],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60690"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60690"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60690\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60690"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60690"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60690"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}