{"id":61008,"date":"2012-12-04T14:50:37","date_gmt":"2012-12-04T03:50:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/04\/re-balancing-remains-rbas-focus\/"},"modified":"2012-12-04T14:50:37","modified_gmt":"2012-12-04T03:50:37","slug":"re-balancing-remains-rbas-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/04\/re-balancing-remains-rbas-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"Re-balancing Remains RBA&#8217;s Focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\tBy Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena<\/p>\n<p>\n\tAt its final meeting for calendar 2013, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has sliced off a further 25bp to bring the official cash rate down to 3.00%, as widely expected by (most) economists and commentators.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tKey assessments, judging from today&#039;s Statement by <span>RBA<\/span> Governor Glenn Stevens, were the fact that the peak in the mining <span>capex<\/span> boom is near while inflation is likely to remain contained and early improvements for the global economy are still offset by ongoing uncertainties in the US and in Europe. Nothing we already didn&#039;t know.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tStevens&#039; statement also makes a reference to the Australian dollar which remains stronger against most other currencies than would have been expected on the basis of changes in commodity prices and Australia&#039;s terms of trade. Again, nothing we didn&#039;t already know. Besides, what are Stevens and Co going to do about it?<\/p>\n<p>\n\tProbably the most interesting paragraph in today&#039;s statement is the following:<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&quot;Private consumption spending is expected to grow, but a return to the very strong growth of some years ago is unlikely. Available information suggests that the near-term outlook for non-residential building investment, and investment generally outside the resources sector, remains relatively subdued. Public spending is forecast to be constrained. On the other hand, there are indications of a prospective improvement in dwelling investment, with dwelling prices moving a little higher, rental yields increasing and building approvals having turned up.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>\n\tAnd that&#039;s why yet another <span>25bp<\/span> has gone off the official cash rate. The Australian economy has to re-balance away from resources <span>capex<\/span>, but the most obvious sector to support this re-balancing is the local building sector and any improvements witnessed to date remain &quot;green shoots&quot; at best. A little help was thus welcome and the <span>RBA<\/span> has delivered just that.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tNo indications are given about what the <span>RBA<\/span> thinks lies most likely ahead. So we can all continue speculating and debating about how many more cuts will be needed to achieve a soft landing in Australia next year.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tFor the full statement as released today via the <span>RBA<\/span> website: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/media-releases\/2012\/mr-12-36.html\">CLICK HERE<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe Bank of Queensland ((<span>BOQ<\/span>)) has already announced it will only pass on <span>20bp<\/span> to its mortgage holders.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>Find out why <span>FNArena<\/span> subscribers like the service so much: &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&amp;n=29EB960D-9DFF-C00E-7F6B464E5D52E250\">Your Feedback (Thank You)<\/a>&quot; &#8211; Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The RBA cut the cash rate by 25bp at its December meeting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[21],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61008"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61008"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61008\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}