##{"id":61371,"date":"2013-02-25T10:58:39","date_gmt":"2013-02-24T23:58:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/25\/three-price-channels-to-help-you-find-high-probability-trades\/"},"modified":"2013-02-25T10:58:39","modified_gmt":"2013-02-24T23:58:39","slug":"three-price-channels-to-help-you-find-high-probability-trades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/25\/three-price-channels-to-help-you-find-high-probability-trades\/","title":{"rendered":"Three Price Channels To Help You Find High Probability Trades"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\tBy Tyler Yell, Trading Instructor<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-style:italic\">Framing price action helps a trader recognize high probability entry and exits. Framing is based on prior price action so while it cannot predict the future it can help build expectations so you know if the current room may be running out of steam or just beginning. There are a handful of ways to frame price action so you only need to decide which method works best for you.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">Price can often feel subject to the rules of nature like gravity or inertia. Therefore, when price drops to a certain level, you can often notice a bounce at some point. Framing price charts with channels can help you see when price may react or bounce and when an appropriate entry or exit may appear. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">There are many charts and trading strategies with price channels so treat it like a buffet. Choose only what you want and if something doesn&rsquo;t suit you, leave it be for the next trader. Channels can also accomplish different things like help<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">ing<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> you<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> to<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> pinpoint trend continuation entries or range bound reversals. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">You&rsquo;ll <\/span>be introduced to 3 types of channels in the article. Hand drawn channels are the grade school version of channel trading but can be extremely effective in finding entries and exit. <span>Donchian<\/span> Channels help traders<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> find breakouts and breakdowns by looking at price extremes over a set number of periods or days. Lastly, we&rsquo;ll look at an advanced channel based on Median-Line analysis, called Andrews Pitchfork. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Learn <span>Forex<\/span>: Simple Channels Can Be Very Effective<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/DFX 210213-1.jpg\" style=\"width: 625px;height: 343px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:12px\">(Created using <span>FXCM&rsquo;s<\/span> <span>Marketscope<\/span> 2.0 charts)<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Hand Drawn Channel <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">This is the best place to start for newer traders. Hand drawn channels are easy to understand and can be used in ranging or sideways markets with <\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">price reacting <\/span>to support and resistance. Channels<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> can also be used in <\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">a <\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">rising market like we see on the EURUSD chart above. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Learn Forex: The Line Tool Can Be Used To Draw Channel Tops And Bottoms<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/DFX 210213-2.jpg\" style=\"width: 624px;height: 82px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:12px\">(Created using FXCM&rsquo;s Marketscope 2.0 charts)<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">The key qualification for a channel is that price should touch at least two times but three or more is best. In a rising channel like we see above on EURUSD, the force is behind the buying pressure <\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">as we see with higher highs and higher lows <\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">so<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> the h<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">igh probability trading would have you buying near channel bottoms with stops below entry and outside of channel and selling near channel tops. Shorting at channel tops are not recommended because we&rsquo;re in an uptrend. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Learn Forex: Range Trading Allows You To Clearly Define Your Risk And Targets<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/DFX 210213-3.jpg\" style=\"width: 625px;height: 343px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:12px\">(Created using FXCM&rsquo;s Marketscope 2.0 charts)<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Donchian Channel Breakout Trading<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">Richard Donchian created a profoundly simple trend following strategy in the 1980s built on the concept of buying strength and selling weakness. Donchian Channels are <\/span>considered a high probability breakout strategy that<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> finds price exceeding the high or low over a user specified number of hours\/days \/weeks. This channel strategy works well in rising or falling markets but is best retired during range bound markets. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Learn Forex: This Simple Strategy Helps You Catch Big Moves And Limit Losses<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/DFX 210213-4(1).jpg\" style=\"width: 625px;height: 343px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:12px\">(Created using FXCM&rsquo;s Marketscope 2.0 charts)<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">Because few breakouts result in legitimate trends many traders will place a stop exit at the opposing channel. This limits risk and prevents you from holding onto a losing trade too long. Traders who aren&rsquo;t comfortable with that wide of a stop are encouraged to reduce trade size or you can protect your trade by placing a <\/span>stop utilizing Average True Range or <span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">with a stop in the middle of the channel which would be a 10-day low or high depending on trend direction. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Andrew&rsquo;s Pitchfork &ndash; Median Line <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">Trading with the pitchfork is powerful once you understand where to find starting points for drawing the pattern. Pitchfork trading was developed by Dr. Alan Andrews based on the concept that price often returns to an average price overtime with swings away from the median line often returning until the trend switches directions. This pattern allows for tight risk and reasonable profit targets. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Learn Forex: Constructing The Pitchfork Is Simple And Built On Market Pivots<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/DFX 210213-5.jpg\" style=\"width: 625px;height: 416px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:12px\">(Created using FXCM&rsquo;s Marketscope 2.0 charts)<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">The argument that helps traders build strategies around the pitchfork is that 80% of the time in trending markets, prices will gravitate towards the<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> rising or falling<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> median line. The pitchfork&rsquo;s foundation will be based on 3 swinging pivots in the markets (identified as A,<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">B, &amp;C on the chart). The starting swing (Point A) is the beginning of the median line and<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> swing extreme<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> points B and C around Point A bring you the pitchfork. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">There are many helpful tools for finding the starting points A, B, &amp; C but after a while you&rsquo;ll be able to pin point the market swing starting points with your trader<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">&rsquo;s eye. You can use the Zig <\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">Z<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">ag<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> indicator which helps you to determine the most important price changes and turns and draw your pitchfork from those points. Another option is to use daily or weekly fractals that show you price reversals to highlight turning points in the market. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">The preferred target when trading the pitchfork is the middle line. However, in strong trending markets or ranging markets, you can target the opposing pitch fork. The stop is often placed outside of the pitchfork by the amount of 0.5 or 1 times Average True Range to allow the market to breathe within the trend. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:bold\">Closing Thoughts<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">The key to this or any strategy is<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> to find the<\/span><span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\"> one that works best for you. The end goal of whichever channel you use is to frame price action on your preferred time frame so that you can determine appropriate entries and exits. Regardless of the method you use, make sure to limit your risk by placing stops outside of the channel and&nbsp;<\/span>using appropriate trade size for your account balance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t<span class=\"gsstx\" style=\"font-size:13px\">Happy Trading!<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\t&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"gsstx\">\n\tRe-published with permission.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe views expressed are not by association FNArena&#039;s (see our disclaimer).<\/p>\n<p>\n\tFor real time news and analysis, please visit http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/real_time_news<\/p>\n<p>\n\tDailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market. Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.<\/p>\n<p>\n\twww.dailyfx.com<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em><u>Forex Capital Markets is headquartered at Financial Square 32 Old Slip, 10th Floor, New York, NY 10005 USA.<\/u><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to trade the foreign exchange products offered by Forex Capital Markets, LLC, Forex Capital Markets Limited, inclusive of all EU branches, FXCM Asia Limited, or FXCM Australia Limited, any affiliates of aforementioned firms, or other firms under the FXCM group of companies [collectively Your Feedback (Thank You)&quot; &#8211; Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Framing exchange rate action helps a trader recognize high probability entry and exit points, suggests Tyler Yell, trading instructor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[29],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61371"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61371"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61371\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}