##{"id":69247,"date":"2017-07-17T10:30:51","date_gmt":"2017-07-17T00:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/?p=69247"},"modified":"2017-07-17T10:30:52","modified_gmt":"2017-07-17T00:30:52","slug":"asx200-locked-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/17\/asx200-locked-in\/","title":{"rendered":"ASX200: Locked In"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Craig Parker, asset manager, Moat Capital<\/p>\n<div>\n<p style=\"text-align:justify\"><span style=\"color:windowtext\">Well I don&rsquo;t know about other investors out there but I am pretty much exhausted from the tug of war that is going on between the 60-day and 200 day moving average. Just when it seems we are going to get a breakout the opposing force comes roaring back the next day. With support on the daily around 5670 and US markets having decent gains overnight it seems that we will get our head above the 60-day moving average come Monday. However, I wouldn&rsquo;t be getting my hopes up just yet for a return to the medium-term uptrend as we did peak out over the 60-day moving average on the 14<sup>th<\/sup> and 29<sup>th<\/sup> June only to duck for cover. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:justify\"><span style=\"color:windowtext\">A lot will depend on our financial sector which is making a comeback albeit a counter trend in a medium term down trend as illustrated with a peak lower than the previous and Iron Ore prices and whether they can hold above the 55 to 60 mark. The financial sector could recover further but I doubt the sector will form a higher peak than the previous as the recent move down is too significant. This isn&rsquo;t great for our medium-term outlook as the financial sector is a large component of the market. I also doubt Iron Ore prices will remain where they are or go significantly higher for any length of time and the RBA wouldn&rsquo;t like the chart on our dollar versus the United States dollar so, the headwinds are likely to remain over the medium term with some possible short-term time in the sun.<\/span><br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:justify\"><u><span style=\"color:windowtext\">ASX200 daily<\/span><\/u><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-responsive maxwidth\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/files\/Charts\/moat32-1.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n<u>ASX200 financials ex-REITs weekly<\/u><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/moat32-2.jpg\" style=\"height:406px;width:832px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n<u>AUD\/USD daily<\/u><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/moat32-3.jpg\" style=\"height:406px;width:832px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size:10.0pt\">Authorised Representative Sentinel Private Wealth AFSL 344762<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size:10.0pt\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/Moat%20logo.jpg\" style=\"height:69px;width:170px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/moatcapital.com.au\/\"><span style=\"font-size:10.0pt\">www.moatcapital.com.au<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:justify\"><strong><span style=\"color:windowtext\"><span style=\"font-size:9.0pt\">Important Information<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size:9.0pt\">This document and its contents are general in nature and do not constitute or convey personal advice.&nbsp; It has been prepared without consideration of anyone&#039;s particular financial situation, needs or financial objectives.&nbsp; Personal advice should be sought before acting on any of the areas discussed.&nbsp; The authors and distributors of this document accept no liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of that person, or any other person, placing any reliance on the contents of this document.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size:9.0pt\">Moat Capital has made every reasonable effort to ensure the information provided is correct, but Moat Capital makes no representation or any warranty as to whether the information is accurate, complete or up to date.&nbsp; To the extent permitted by law, Moat Capital accepts no responsibility for any errors or misstatements, negligent or otherwise.&nbsp; The information provided may be based on assumptions or market conditions and may change without notice.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>Reprinted with permission of the publisher.<\/em> <em>Content included in this article is not by association the view of FNArena (see our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index2.cfm?type=dsp_webht\">disclaimer<\/a>).<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Technical limitations <\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>If you are reading this story through a third party distribution channel and you cannot see charts included, we apologise, but technical limitations are to blame.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Find out why FNArena subscribers like the service so much: &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&amp;n=29EB960D-9DFF-C00E-7F6B464E5D52E250\">Your Feedback (Thank You)<\/a>&quot; &#8211; Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Craig Parker of Moat Capital is not confident the ASX200 can break out to the upside.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69247"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69247\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}