##{"id":98306,"date":"2021-12-01T11:31:45","date_gmt":"2021-12-01T00:31:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/?p=98306"},"modified":"2021-12-01T11:31:46","modified_gmt":"2021-12-01T00:31:46","slug":"two-small-caps-with-big-consumer-brands","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2021\/12\/01\/two-small-caps-with-big-consumer-brands\/","title":{"rendered":"Two Small Caps With Big Consumer Brands"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Tim Boreham, Editor, The New Criterion<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>Two small caps with big consumer brands promise better times ahead<\/strong><\/u><\/p>\n<p>In the world of small cap investing, a well-known consumer brand does not necessarily equate to a generous market capitalisation. In contrast, the custodians of some of our best-known names easily fall into the &lsquo;microcap&rsquo; category.<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;re not implying that that these beaten-down stocks are always worth buying, but with some diligent renovation it might be the case. Our starting point is that it&rsquo;s better to own a brand with entrenched goodwill that sings from the shelves, rather than a generic knock-off.<\/p>\n<p>This leads us down the supermarket aisles to the egg shelves, where Farm Pride is synonymous with these ovoid delights. Yet for <strong>Farm Pride<\/strong> ((FRM)), there hasn&rsquo;t been much egg-citement for investors in recent years.<\/p>\n<p>Formerly the Victorian Egg Marketing board, Farm Pride has always been a quiet outfit, which has much to do with the fact its major holder West Coast Eggs accounts for just under 50%&nbsp;of the register and the top 20 holders account for 75%.<\/p>\n<p>The company&rsquo;s market worth is a paltry $14m.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-responsive maxwidth\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/ckfinder\/userfiles\/images\/Commodities\/Agriculture\/chicken%20farm.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s been tough times in the coop, with the company&rsquo;s operations last year struck by avian influenza &ndash; covid for birds &ndash; which wiped out one-third of Farm Pride&rsquo;s chooks.<\/p>\n<p>The disease &ndash; which was bought in by migrating birds &#8212; resulted in an -$11.9m&nbsp;loss for the year to June 30, 2021, on revenue of $76.9m (down -15%).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;&ldquo;12 months later we are still standing, which is testament to the early turnaround work we have done in the business,&rsquo;&rsquo; CEO Daryl Bird told a recent investor briefing.<\/p>\n<p>(And no &ndash; we&rsquo;re not making that name up).<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;<em>We have carried out balance sheet repair and most importantly we have increased working capital and recovered all affected farms<\/em>.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile the egg industry is being forced to adapt to the supermarkets&rsquo; collective pledge to eliminate cage farming by 2025, to be replaced by barn-laid or free-range production.<\/p>\n<p>Four years ago, the commoditised industry was grappling with oversupply and a supermarket egg war erupted with price reductions of up to -40%.<\/p>\n<p>Now the sector has swung to undersupply and Farm Pride is selling as many eggs as it can hatch. But retail prices remain down, down: a carton of large free-range eggs could be bought for as little as $3.90 compared with well over $5 five years ago.<\/p>\n<p>Farm Pride has a circa 8% share of the retail sector that turned over $1bn last year. It&rsquo;s a dominant supplier to home-brand (supermarket) labels which account for 60%&nbsp;of the sector.<\/p>\n<p>The company&rsquo;s owned or operated farms churn our one million eggs a day from 1.4m&nbsp;chooks, graded at facilities in Sydney and Melbourne.<\/p>\n<p>Farm Pride is also leader in the circa $200m&nbsp;a year industrial sector, supplying ingredients such as egg liquids to mayonnaise makers.<\/p>\n<p>Bird rues that as cage-laid facilities are phased out, production cost will rise but the retailers will demand less for more.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Their endeavour is to push prices down and our endeavours as suppliers is to keep prices up,&rdquo; he says.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;But given long lead times for rollouts, there will invariably be mismatches and we are planning for those.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Bird admits the industry&rsquo;s challenges won&rsquo;t exactly egg on investors, but argues Farm Pride is well positioned to overhaul its core business and develop innovative products in an otherwise staid sector.<\/p>\n<p>The latter includes higher margin convenience products (such as hard-boiled eggs), sports nutritional drinks and other forays into non-egg foodstuffs.<\/p>\n<p>The pandemic, not surprisingly, has highlighted the potential of egg-based ingredients for home cooking.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;&ldquo;While we are an egg producer of significance, we are primarily an FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) business and that gives us a good evolutionary track as far as innovation goes.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Bird says that since he flew in to the top job in 2019, the company has stabilised cash flow and cleaned up its balance sheet. A superfluous facility was sold and in July the company entered a $18m&nbsp;sale and leaseback deal for its main facility and HQ in Melbourne&rsquo;s Keysborough.<\/p>\n<p>Farm Pride shares have gained 68%&nbsp;over the last year, which recognises the corporate renovation efforts and the tight supply.<\/p>\n<p>Still, crestfallen investors have seen the value of their investment fall by -83%&nbsp;over five years.<\/p>\n<p>Given the Farm Pride register is as tight as a battery cage the shares are as rare as hen&rsquo;s teeth and scarcely traded.<\/p>\n<p>The stock is capable of doing much better, given strong population growth and the egg&rsquo;s status as key source of non-meat protein (and not the cholesterol bomb they were suspected to be).<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>McPherson&rsquo;s<\/strong> ((MCP))<\/u><\/p>\n<p>With a suite of popular personal care brands including Dr LeWinn, Manicare, Lady Jayne and Swisspers, McPherson&rsquo;s has had more facelifts than an ageing Hollywood star but remains mired in mediocrity.<\/p>\n<p>As with Farm Pride, as a supplier to the supermarkets McPherson&rsquo;s has been pushed around by the big guys over the years and can also be hostage to currency movements.<\/p>\n<p>That said, McPherson&rsquo;s full year reported loss of -$5m&nbsp;for the 2020-21 year belies an interesting value proposition for the $120m&nbsp;market cap stock.<\/p>\n<p>At the company&rsquo;s late November AGM, chief executive Grant Peck described the year as &ldquo;one of the most challenging in a decade&rdquo;. And &ndash; boy &ndash; the company has sure had some challenging years.<\/p>\n<p>The chief culprit was an -82%&nbsp;plunge in Dr LeWinn sales to China, which wiped -$15.7m&nbsp;from earnings and more than offset an increase in domestic home-based beauty sales.<\/p>\n<p>The reported loss stemmed from significant items, including a -$6.7m&nbsp;write down of hand sanitiser inventory because of a market glut.<\/p>\n<p>We should have seen that one coming!<\/p>\n<p>The company has told shareholders to expect lower first (December) earnings, but in earnings before interest and tax (ebit) terms the full year should be $1-2m&nbsp;higher.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020-21 the company reported ebit of $11.3m, -55%&nbsp;lower on revenue of $200m&nbsp;(down -10%).<\/p>\n<p>In November last year McPherson&rsquo;s acquired alternative medicine outfit Global Therapeutics for $27.5m, with this business chipping in $9.5m of revenue and $1.39m of earnings.<\/p>\n<p>McPherson&rsquo;s balance sheet is in fine fettle, which supports a generous dividend payout equating to a circa 5.3%&nbsp;yield, fully franked.<\/p>\n<p>The shares have lost half their value over the last year, but all will be forgiven if management hits its target of $300m&nbsp;of annual sales and $50m of ebit by 2026.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><em>Content included in this article is not by association the view of <\/em><em>FNArena<\/em><em> (see our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index2.cfm?type=dsp_webht\">disclaimer<\/a>).<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Find out why <\/em><em>FNArena<\/em><em> subscribers like the service so much: &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index4.cfm?type=dsp_newsitem&amp;n=29EB960D-9DFF-C00E-7F6B464E5D52E250\">Your Feedback (Thank You)<\/a>&quot; &#8211; Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>FNArena<\/em><em>&nbsp;is proud about its track record and past achievements: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fnarena.com\/index.php\/2018\/10\/03\/rudis-view-ten-years-on-the-world-is-still-turning\/\">Ten Years On<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From eggs to personal care products, The New Criterion&#8217;s Tim Boreham throws the spotlight on two largely under-the-radar small caps.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":98350,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[83],"tags":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98306"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98306"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98306\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98350"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.fnarena.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}