AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED (AEL)
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AEL

AEL - AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Crude Oil
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Energy
Debt/EBITDA: 1.73
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$0.23

01 Oct
2025

0.000

OPEN

$0.23

0.000

HIGH

$0.24

11,062,303

LOW

$0.23

TARGET
$0.308 33.7% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
ALD . BHP . BPT . BRU . CRD . CVN . FAR . HE8 . HZN . KAR . MAY . VEA .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AEL: 1
Title FY24
Actual		 FY25
Actual		 FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 1.5 1.8 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 13.6 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-1.5
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx268.1 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14.0
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx89.3 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-15.42 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-10.41 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-6.13 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-2.97 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-10.41 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.44 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx55.5 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx300 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx300 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx62 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.48

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx75.3 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx28.08 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx202 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

21/08/2025

1

Outperform

$0.38

65.22%

Following FY25 results, Amplitude Energy remains Macquarie's key pick for East Coast gas exposure.

Average realised gas prices rose to $9.91/GJ in FY25 from $8.83/GJ, while Orbost continued to perform strongly at 62TJ/d, explains the analyst. Upgrades are targeting more than 70TJ/d by June 2026 and unit costs below $2/GJ.

FY26 guidance was broadly in line with the broker's expectations, with production forecast at 69-74TJe/d against the broker’s 73.6.

The broker notes Japanese utility Osaka Gas's entry as a 50% Otway partner significantly de-risks the drilling program, allowing Amplitude to commit to three wells starting late 2025.

Net debt of $243m appears manageable to the analyst, with peak leverage expected in FY27.

The broker’s target price is unchanged at 38c, with an Outperform rating retained.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.10 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.60 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

29/09/2025

1

Buy

$0.28

21.74%

Amplitude Energy is raising $150m to fund its share of drilling the Nestor gas prospect and to reduce debt, Jarden notes. The raising comprises a $50m placement and a $100m entitlement offer at 24c, a -9.2% discount to the theoretical ex-rights price (TERP).

The broker assesses Nestor is a low-risk Otway Basin exploration target with an 81% chance of success and proximity to existing pipelines.

The raising lowers net debt to $88m, cuts interest costs, and diversifies growth options while reducing reliance on Elanora and Isabella, explain the analysts.

Jarden trims its target to 28c from 29c and maintains a Buy rating.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.10 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.90 cents.

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxx xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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AEL STOCK CHART

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