LIONTOWN RESOURCES LIMITED (LTR)
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LTR

LTR - LIONTOWN RESOURCES LIMITED

FNArena Sector : New Battery Elements
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: -31.07
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$0.965

02 Oct
2025

0.085

OPEN

$0.90

9.66%

HIGH

$0.98

35,626,695

LOW

$0.89

TARGET
$0.727 -24.7% downside
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
LTR: 1
Title FY24
Actual
FY25
Actual
FY26
Forecast
FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 8.0 - 4.3 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A N/A xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-8.0
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx297.6 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx23.9
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-11.1 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-64.95 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-28.62 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-17.08 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-13.11 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-28.62 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-14.11 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-341.8 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx373 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx458 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx831 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx156 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.93

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx330.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx111.13 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx449 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx35 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

-0.7

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

25/09/2025

5

Sell

$0.80

-17.10%

UBS reinstates coverage of Liontown Resources with a Sell rating after coming off the restriction list, with the new target set at 80c, up 50% after factoring in the latest lithium price forecast changes and a $372m equity raising.

The Sell rating is due to the strong share price performance, even as the broker acknowledges a stronger balance sheet is more positive.

UBS highlights its two-year bearish stance on the lithium sector, but supply disruptions from the Chinese lepidolite producers resulted in significant price upgrades recently.

A recovery is still expected, but the broker has shortened the length of producers’ outages. This follows leads from the UBS China team about CATL Jianxiawo and seven other mines renewing their mining permits and restarting either Nov/Dec 2025 or March 2026.

The broker lowers spodumene price forecasts by -7% for 2025 to US$835/t and by -12% for 2026 to US$1,100/t.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus -3.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.00 cents.

Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

4

xxxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Canaccord Genuity

01/10/2025

3

Hold

$0.85

-11.92%

Last week, Liontown Resources reported FY25 underlying earnings (EBITDA) of $55m, missing Canaccord Genuity's estimate of $82m but ahead of consensus of US$40m.

The variance was driven by inventory treatment and capitalisation of commissioning costs ahead of commercial production from January 2025, explains the broker. 

A net loss of -$193m, including an -$81m write-down, was wider than expected by the analysts, due to higher depreciation and unfavourable currency movements.

FY26 guidance of 365-450kt at cash costs of -$855-1,045/t remains unchanged, with the broker expecting margins to improve from Q3 FY26 as underground ore supports higher grades and recoveries.

Canaccord lifts its target price to 85c from 80c and maintains a Hold rating.

FORECAST
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus -0.80 cents.
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus -0.30 cents.

Petra Capital

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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LTR STOCK CHART