PEXA GROUP LIMITED (PXA)
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PXA

PXA - PEXA GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Real Estate
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Real Estate
Debt/EBITDA: 2.47
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$15.46

02 Oct
2025

-0.290

OPEN

$15.63

-1.84%

HIGH

$15.82

418,676

LOW

$15.00

TARGET
$17.207 11.3% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
APZ . DGH . HMC . REA . RMY . UBN .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
PXA: 1
Title FY24
Actual
FY25
Actual
FY26
Forecast
FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 43.0 27.2 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 57.9 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-43.0
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx393.6 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx649.9
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx116.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-19.33 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-6.42 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-4.97 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-4.15 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-6.42 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.82 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx116.1 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx321 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx324 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx754 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx71 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.09

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx57.8 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14.68 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx170 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx196 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx20 M
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

3
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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Macquarie

01/09/2025

1

Outperform

$17.30

11.90%

Following a further review of FY25 results, Macquarie believes Pexa Group is at a pivotal point, with a second Tier 1 lender potentially accelerating broader bank adoption.

The broker cuts its EPS forecasts by -17.4% in FY26, -19.2% in FY27, and -12.4% in FY28 on softer Exchange margins and slower UK share gains.

The target price rises to $17.30 from $14.72, after Macquarie adopts a new valuation method.

The broker's initial thoughts on FY25 were summarised as follows.

In first impressions of Pexa Group's FY25 result, Macquarie highlights the FY26 core net profit guidance of $5-15m implies a downgrade to consensus forecast. Consensus is currently sitting at $15.6m, 36% above the midpoint of guidance.

FY25 net profit of $41.1m was 6.6% above consensus but below the broker's forecast of $46.m. The beat vs consensus was due to treatment of significant items, and underlying revenue and EBITDA were weak.

Pexa exchange margin of 55% was up from 50% in FY24, but missed the broker's estimate of 55.4%. International operating cash flow of -$57.7m compared with guidance of -$55-58m. 

The digital solutions business remains under review, with divestment or further investment being considered.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 34.40 cents.

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

05/09/2025

1

Upgrade to Buy from Overweight

$17.70

14.49%

Pexa Group's FY25 earnings (EBITDA) of $134m, rose by 17% year-on-year but but came in -4% below Jarden’s and consensus forecasts. International revenue was weaker and exchange margins lower than expected.

FY26 guidance of between $405-430m revenue and 32-35% margins implies to the broker respective -4% and -11% downgrades to consensus forecasts at midpoints. Capex guidance of -$60-65m was lower-than-expectated.

The broker cuts its FY26-FY28 EPS forecasts by -26% to -37% due to lower international and digital revenues, and higher UK costs, Terminal EPS are only reduced by -2% with UK market share assumptions intact at around 40%.

Jarden lowers its target price to $17.70 from $17.75 and upgrades Pexa Group to Buy from Overweight given the strong UK opportunity.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 28.50 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 28.50 cents and EPS of 40.70 cents.

PXA STOCK CHART